inteldiction.

Two prices for the same event cannot both be true.

Inteldiction is editorial intelligence on prediction markets. Every scan we run reads the full Polymarket board — 40,000+ markets — hunting for tensions: books that break their own history, impossible orderings, volume that arrives without moving a price. Then we write down what the numbers are arguing about.

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What we hunt

TENSION

Contradictions

Mutually exclusive books that summed to 1 for weeks — until today. Deadlines priced backwards. When two markets disagree about one world, someone is wrong, and it's priced.

FLOW

Volume without price

A market absorbs ten times its daily baseline and doesn't move a cent: someone is building a position and trying not to be seen. We flag it the morning it happens.

REPRICING

Moves with no money

A price jumps eleven points on below-average volume. Either nobody saw it yet, or nobody believes it. Both are worth a paragraph.

From a recent edition

One price moved without flow; the other saw flow without moving. Two incompatible pictures of the same barrel.
— on WTI crude strikes, August 2026

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Inteldiction is an editorial publication observing prediction market activity. Nothing here is investment, financial, legal, or trading advice. Prediction markets carry substantial risk of loss. Past prices do not guarantee future outcomes. Always consult a licensed professional before making financial decisions.