Two prices for the same event cannot both be true.
Inteldiction is editorial intelligence on prediction markets. Every scan we run reads the full Polymarket board — 40,000+ markets — hunting for tensions: books that break their own history, impossible orderings, volume that arrives without moving a price. Then we write down what the numbers are arguing about.
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What we hunt
Contradictions
Mutually exclusive books that summed to 1 for weeks — until today. Deadlines priced backwards. When two markets disagree about one world, someone is wrong, and it's priced.
Volume without price
A market absorbs ten times its daily baseline and doesn't move a cent: someone is building a position and trying not to be seen. We flag it the morning it happens.
Moves with no money
A price jumps eleven points on below-average volume. Either nobody saw it yet, or nobody believes it. Both are worth a paragraph.
From a recent edition
One price moved without flow; the other saw flow without moving. Two incompatible pictures of the same barrel.